by CivicMeter Staff | Mar 31, 2020 | Modelpedia
Which COVID-19 models are right, and which are wrong? We don’t know, that’s fine. Because as Zeynep Tufekci writes in The Atlantic today, “right answers are not what epidemiological models are for”. Tufekci, an associate professor at the...
by CivicMeter Staff | Mar 30, 2020 | Modelpedia
There’s no shortage of models attempting to forecast COVID-19 cases and deaths. Here on CivicMeter, we’ve covered a few of the most prominent ones for our Modelpedia. But the numbers vary wildly, and it raises the question: why is it so hard to model a...
by CivicMeter Staff | Mar 30, 2020 | Modelpedia
A professor at University of Texas at Austin has modeled the potential outcomes for Austin-area hospitals depending on the strictness of social intervention measures. The model, developed by Lauren Ancel Meyers, shows that the virus could overwhelm Austin-area...
by CivicMeter Staff | Mar 30, 2020 | Modelpedia
A new tool from the University of Washington predicts when COVID-19 cases may peak in all 50 states, and what those peaks may look like in terms of deaths and hospital resource use. Although the forecasts already assumes a high level of protective measures like social...
by CivicMeter Staff | Mar 30, 2020 | Modelpedia
Stanford statistics professor Jacob Steinhardt has presented a model that attempts to estimate COVID-19 infection prevalence in countries by using data from Singapore and Taiwan — two countries with heavy testing and public case data. [Find the GitHub here.]...
by CivicMeter Staff | Mar 30, 2020 | Modelpedia
A new paper from researchers at the Imperial College London estimates prevalence of COVID-19 infections in 11 European countries, as of March 28th. From the paper: In this report, we use a semi-mechanistic Bayesian hierarchical model to attempt to infer the impact of...
