by CivicMeter Staff | Jun 29, 2020 | COVID-19
We’ve been talking with journalists around the country during this crisis, and have seen some recurring opportunities to enhance COVID stories that feature a data component. Some of these points are well-known and oft-used; some are not. But they are all...
by CivicMeter Staff | Mar 31, 2020 | COVID-19, Public Health
Models are being deployed help predict the spread of COVID-19 and generate new approaches to help stem the outbreak. Most of these modelers don’t work for the government. Rather, they are employed by universities and are hampered by lack of relationships with...
by CivicMeter Staff | Mar 31, 2020 | Uncategorized
The severity of COVID-19 outbreaks vary by state. One useful way to look at how the situation is escalating is by looking at hospitalizations, both as a raw number and per capita. See the full chart on the CivicMeter COVID-19...
by CivicMeter Staff | Mar 31, 2020 | Uncategorized
CivicMeter has added per capita data to our chart tracking COVID-19 cases in U.S. states. Confirmed case totals can be skewed by under-testing and other factors. This is true for raw numbers as well as per capita case totals. Deaths per 1 million, while still subject...
by CivicMeter Staff | Mar 31, 2020 | Uncategorized
Using University of Washington’s model, CivicMeter has charted the projected date of COVID’s peak in each U.S. state, as well as the healthcare resources that will be required during these peaks. Some states, like California, aren’t projected to run...
by CivicMeter Staff | Mar 31, 2020 | Modelpedia
Which COVID-19 models are right, and which are wrong? We don’t know, that’s fine. BecauseĀ as Zeynep Tufekci writes in The Atlantic today, “right answers are not what epidemiological models are for”. Tufekci, an associate professor at the...
by CivicMeter Staff | Mar 30, 2020 | Uncategorized
Overall confirmed cases are a poor proxy for gauging where various countries are in their respective outbreaks. Active cases, although subject to under-reporting, is a better metric for determining which countries are facing the most severe outbreaks. View the entire...
by CivicMeter Staff | Mar 30, 2020 | Modelpedia
There’s no shortage of models attempting to forecast COVID-19 cases and deaths. Here on CivicMeter, we’ve covered a few of the most prominent ones for our Modelpedia. But the numbers vary wildly, and it raises the question: why is it so hard to model a...
by CivicMeter Staff | Mar 30, 2020 | Modelpedia
A professor at University of Texas at Austin has modeled the potential outcomes for Austin-area hospitals depending on the strictness of social intervention measures. The model, developed by Lauren Ancel Meyers, shows that the virus could overwhelm Austin-area...
by CivicMeter Staff | Mar 30, 2020 | Modelpedia
A new tool from the University of Washington predicts when COVID-19 cases may peak in all 50 states, and what those peaks may look like in terms of deaths and hospital resource use. Although the forecasts already assumes a high level of protective measures like social...